YOUR NUMBERS. YOUR NEXT STEP.
You need customers.
What will it take to get them?
Turn a new-customer revenue goal into a lead target and an estimated marketing budget. Then see what happens when you close more of those leads.
Leads & marketing budget
01 / PUT YOUR NUMBERS IN
Let’s see what the numbers say.
Sample numbers are already filled in. Change them to fit your business; the results update as you go.
What should you charge?
Start with what the work costs you. Your time counts, too.
How these numbers work
Direct cost = materials + hours × hourly labor cost + other direct costs. Price = direct cost ÷ (1 − target margin). Margin is profit divided by price; markup is profit divided by cost. These results are before monthly overhead and tax. Include payroll costs in your labor rate where applicable. Enter amounts before sales tax.
How much do you need to sell?
Give every sale a job: cover its own costs, help pay the bills, then leave something for you.
How these numbers work
Contribution per sale = selling price − direct cost. Break-even sales = overhead ÷ contribution, rounded up to whole sales. Sales for your profit goal = (overhead + target profit) ÷ contribution, rounded up. The price comparison holds sales volume assumptions and costs constant; it does not predict customer demand. Put owner compensation in either overhead or direct labor as appropriate, without counting it twice. Profit shown is before income tax.
What will it take to get the customers?
A sales goal is a start. Now work backward to the leads and the money needed to bring them in.
How these numbers work
Customers needed = revenue goal ÷ average first sale, rounded up. Leads needed = customers ÷ close rate, rounded up. Budget = leads × cost per lead. Acquisition cost = budget ÷ customers. Contribution left = customer revenue − direct delivery costs − acquisition budget; overhead and tax are still unpaid. This assumes one first sale per new customer and excludes repeat purchases. Use the same lead definition for your cost per lead and close rate. Include agency, creative, and other acquisition costs in cost per lead if you want them counted. Conversion rates are estimates, not guaranteed results.
Will the cash be there when you need it?
Sales on paper cannot pay a bill. Look at when the money actually arrives.
Your next 12 months
Enter costs as positive amounts in Cash paid out. Net cash flow goes negative when more money leaves than arrives, even if you still have cash in the bank. For project-end payments, leave earlier sales and receipts at zero and put the invoice and payment in the months they happen.
| Month | Sales billed ($) | Cash collected ($) | Cash paid out ($) | Net cash flow | Ending cash |
|---|
How these numbers work
Net cash flow = cash collected − cash paid out. Ending cash = previous cash balance + net cash flow. A negative month carries forward in full. Cash paid out should include operating costs, owner draws, taxes, debt payments, and equipment purchases. Automatic payment timing collects all new sales in the month billed or the following month; opening receivables are added in Month 1 only. Choose manual receipts for deposits, progress payments, or longer delays; in that mode enter all receipts directly, including old invoices, and the opening-receivables field is disabled to avoid double counting. Sales billed do not add cash in manual mode. The reserve is your chosen minimum balance, not an expense. Extra cash needed is the amount added at the start to keep all projected balances at or above your reserve. Month-end balances can hide shortfalls within a month. Negative balances show an unfunded gap. Other financing and repayments can be included in manual receipts and cash paid out.
WHY THIS MATTERS
A marketing budget needs a job.
Before you spend more on marketing, work out what you need it to produce. How many new customers? How many leads will it take to get them? And will anything be left after you pay to get the customer and do the work? This calculator puts those questions together, then lets you see what changes when you close more of the leads you already receive.
02 / HOW TO USE IT
Start here. Change one number at a time.
01
Enter a monthly revenue goal from new customers and the value of their average first sale. This model assumes one first sale per new customer.
02
Enter the direct cost of delivering that sale. Repeat purchases are not included.
03
Enter the percentage of leads that become customers and your estimated cost per lead. Use the same definition of a lead for both numbers.
04
Compare a better close rate. Watch the lead target, acquisition budget, and money left before overhead change.
AN EXAMPLE, NOT A PROMISE
Work backward from the sale.
80 leads
FOR 20 NEW CUSTOMERS
$3,200
ESTIMATED ACQUISITION BUDGET
Based on a 25% close rate and $40 per lead. Revenue is $20,000 from $1,000 first sales.
03 / WHAT THE RESULT MEANS
A number is useful when you know what to do with it.
The budget is an estimate based on your inputs, not a promise of campaign performance. With a $20,000 goal, a $1,000 first sale, a 25% close rate, and $40 per lead, you need 20 customers and about 80 leads, costing $3,200. If delivery costs $400 per sale, $8,800 remains before overhead and tax. Include agency fees, creative, and other acquisition costs in your cost per lead if you want the budget to account for them.
Read Track 3 for the channels, tracking, and sales fundamentals behind these numbers.
THE NUMBERS WORK TOGETHER
One answer usually leads to the next question.
KEEP GOING
Pricing & profit margin
Start with the real cost of doing the work, including your own time. Then see what you need to charge for the margin you want.
KEEP GOING
Break-even & sales goals
Work out how many sales you need to cover your monthly costs and leave the profit you actually want. Then see what a price change could do.
KEEP GOING
Cash flow & runway
Materials and wages go out now. The customer pays later. See the gap, plan your reserve, and know what you need before you take on the work.
KEEP LEARNING
The calculator gives you a number.
The lessons help you use it.
Build the business, understand the money, then put your marketing to work.
